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USM
USMGolden Eagles–
3:30 PM ETProps coming soon · ESPN+
ULMWarhawks–
ULM

Moneyline Projection

Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
USM
58%
-138
ULM
42%
+138
Model expected score: USM 35.5 – ULM 31.8
Defensive Matchup Ratings
USM defensefaces ULM
vs QB
#57
#57 200.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#138
#138 275.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#57
#57 200.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#57
#57 200.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
ULM defensefaces USM
vs QB
#131
#131 268.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#137
#137 243.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#131
#131 268.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#131
#131 268.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
QBEthan HamptonHandOUT
WRGrant PageElbowOUT
WRJaylen HimesFootOUT
LBAvery SledgeUndisclosedQUES
UL Monroe Warhawks
RBJ. WrightUndisclosedQUES
RBMakin LenardUndisclosedQUES

Player Board

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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.