Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
UTEP
11%
+809
NDSU
89%
-809
Model expected score: UTEP 13.1 – NDSU 36.9
Defensive Matchup Ratings
UTEP defensefaces NDSU
vs QB
#95
#95 227.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#110
#110 169.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#95
#95 227.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#95
#95 227.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
NDSU defensefaces UTEP
vs QB
#5
#5 134.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#33
#33 102.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#5
#5 134.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#5
#5 134.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
UTEP Miners
No injuries reported
North Dakota State Bison
RBB. ToliverUndisclosedOUT
RBDJ ScottUndisclosedOUT
RBNyeoti PunniShoulderOUT
WRDrake SchlosserUndisclosedOUT
WRKye SchlichtingUndisclosedOUT
TECash DannerUndisclosedOUT
RBCortez LeGrantUndisclosedQUES
WRB. WaltonUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff. Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.