UNMLobos–
4:00 PM ETProps coming soon · MW+
SJSUSpartans–
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: UNM 33.5 – SJSU 18.3
UNM defensefaces SJSU
vs QB
#11
#11 154.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#32
#32 100.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#11
#11 154.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#11
#11 154.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
SJSU defensefaces UNM
vs QB
#106
#106 234.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#68
#68 141.3 yds/gm
vs WR
#106
#106 234.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#106
#106 234.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
New Mexico Lobos
QBJack LayneElbowOUT
WRA. WilliamsUndisclosedOUT
WRShawn MillerUndisclosedOUT
WRTroy OmeireUndisclosedOUT
TEJoey OlsenKneeOUT
TET. WalshUndisclosedOUT
RBDarrion BowersUndisclosedQUES
San José State Spartans
QBLuke WeaverUndisclosedQUES
RBJabari BatesUndisclosedQUES
WRCooper HochLegQUES
WRJordan AndersonUndisclosedQUES
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.