CONNHuskies–
3:00 PM ETProps coming soon · MW+
AFAFalcons–
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: CONN 26.5 – AFA 28.9
CONN defensefaces AFA
vs QB
#136
#136 290.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#35
#35 110.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#136
#136 290.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#136
#136 290.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
AFA defensefaces CONN
vs QB
#17
#17 162.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#50
#50 124.3 yds/gm
vs WR
#17
#17 162.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#17
#17 162.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
UConn Huskies
WRJ. BrownConcussionOUT
QBJake MerklingerUndisclosedQUES
Air Force Falcons
QBL. SzarkaLegOUT
WRSylas Maiava-AlaimaloUndisclosedQUES
TEG. StalfortUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.