Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
WSU
52%
-108
SDSU
48%
+108
Model expected score: WSU 26.8 – SDSU 25.8
Defensive Matchup Ratings
WSU defensefaces SDSU
vs QB
#62
#62 203.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#85
#85 151.5 yds/gm
vs WR
#62
#62 203.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#62
#62 203.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
SDSU defensefaces WSU
vs QB
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#114
#114 176.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#129
#129 266.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Washington State Cougars
RBCJ ToneyUndisclosedOUT
WRRyan McKendryUndisclosedOUT
WRTony FreemanLegOUT
TEHudson CedarlandLegOUT
San Diego State Aztecs
QBJayden DenegalUndisclosedQUES
WRAldrich DoeUndisclosedQUES
WRDonovan BrownUndisclosedQUES
WRDaishaun DavisUndisclosedQUES
WRDe'yhare Overstreet-GloverUndisclosedQUES
WRDerek StevensonUndisclosedQUES
WRWill CianfriniUndisclosedQUES
TEJack EllisUndisclosedQUES
TEJackson FordUndisclosedQUES
TEParker GuiltinanUndisclosedQUES
TER. WolferUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff. Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.