Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
OSU
64%
-178
USC
36%
+178
Model expected score: OSU 33.9 – USC 27.3
Defensive Matchup Ratings
OSU defensefaces USC
vs QB
#24
#24 168.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#26
#26 99.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#24
#24 168.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#24
#24 168.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
USC defensefaces OSU
vs QB
#98
#98 230.7 yds/gm
vs RB
#42
#42 118.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#98
#98 230.7 yds/gm
vs TE
#98
#98 230.7 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Ohio State Buckeyes
QBJulian SayinArmOUT
RBJ. JacksonFootOUT
RBBo JacksonShoulderQUES
RBT. RogersUndisclosedQUES
WRA. Valerio-HudsonUndisclosedQUES
TEBennett ChristianUndisclosedQUES
USC Trojans
WRCorey SimmsKneeOUT
WRTerrell AndersonUndisclosedOUT
OGKilian O'ConnorUndisclosedOUT
QBSam HuardUndisclosedQUES
RBDeshonne RedeauxUndisclosedQUES
WRRomero IsonUndisclosedQUES
WRR. TezenoFootQUES
TEMark BowmanUndisclosedQUES
SKendarius ReddickUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Jayden Maiava
USC · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 256.5 · Avg 292.1 · L5 4/5
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +561U -556
QB
Tavien St. Clair
OSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +100U -208
QB
Luke Fahey
OSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +100U -213
RB
Bo Jackson
OSU · 4 props
QUES
+
Rush Yds
Line 89.5 · Avg 76.7 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 13.5 · Avg 13.8 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.0 · L5 2/5
O -175U +130
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/5
O -196U +197
RB
King Miller
USC · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 59.5 · Avg 85.0 · L5 5/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 11.5 · Avg 9.3 · L5 1/3
O -110U -120
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.3 · L5 1/3
O -175U +130
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +127U -125
RB
Isaiah West
OSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +252U -250
RB
Riley Wormley
USC · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/5
O +100U -
RB
Ja'Kobi Jackson
OSU · 1 props
OUT
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 4/5
O +100U -156
RB
Shahn Alston
USC · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100U -
RB
Legend Bey
OSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +389U -385
RB
Waymond Jordan
USC · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +100U -370
WR
Brandon Inniss
OSU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 13.5 · Avg 36.8 · L5 4/4
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.5 · L5 3/4
O +105U -140
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +881U -833
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.