Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
PUR
32%
+212
PSU
68%
-213
Model expected score: PUR 24.9 – PSU 33.9
Defensive Matchup Ratings
PUR defensefaces PSU
vs QB
#112
#112 242.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#119
#119 183.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#112
#112 242.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#112
#112 242.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
PSU defensefaces PUR
vs QB
#3
#3 119.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#112
#112 173.2 yds/gm
vs WR
#3
#3 119.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#3
#3 119.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Purdue Boilermakers
TEKylan FoxKneeOUT
Penn State Nittany Lions
RBD'Antae SheffeyUndisclosedOUT
WRKoby HowardUndisclosedOUT
TEBrian KortovichUndisclosedOUT
DLMax GranvilleUndisclosedOUT
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Ryan Browne
PUR · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 236.5 · Avg 260.3 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 9.5 · Avg 9.7 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 2/5
O +100U -476
QB
Rocco Becht
PSU · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 254.5 · Avg 232.8 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +303U -294
RB
Fame Ijeboi
PUR · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 79.5 · Avg 81.1 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 15.5 · Avg 17.8 · L5 2/5
O -110U -120
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.7 · L5 2/5
O +105U -140
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.4 · L5 3/5
O -125U +127
RB
Carson Hansen
PSU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 65.5 · Avg 37.8 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 3/5
O -141U +142
RB
James Peoples
PSU · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 32.5 · Avg 38.7 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +234U -233
RB
Jerrick Gibson
PUR · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -
RB
Quinton Martin Jr.
PSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100U -385
RB
Cam Wallace
PSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/4
O +100U -588
RB
Antonio Harris
PUR · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 2/5
O +410U -400
RB
Travis Terrell Jr.
PUR · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -
WR
Chauncey Magwood
PUR · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 36.5 · Avg 31.6 · L5 1/5
O -125U -125
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.6 · L5 2/5
O -170U +125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.1 · L5 0/5
O +319U -312
WR
Xavier Townsend
PUR · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 36.5 · Avg 52.9 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 4.6 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +328U -323
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.