Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
WIS
43%
+133
IOWA
57%
-133
Model expected score: WIS 23.1 – IOWA 26.3
Defensive Matchup Ratings
WIS defensefaces IOWA
vs QB
#10
#10 152.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#40
#40 114.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#10
#10 152.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#10
#10 152.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
IOWA defensefaces WIS
vs QB
#68
#68 208.7 yds/gm
vs RB
#13
#13 84.7 yds/gm
vs WR
#68
#68 208.7 yds/gm
vs TE
#68
#68 208.7 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Wisconsin Badgers
QBDanny O'NeilLower BodyOUT
RBMason LaneUndisclosedQUES
RBNate PalmerUndisclosedQUES
Iowa Hawkeyes
QBHank BrownShoulderOUT
RBL.J. Phillips Jr.AnkleQUES
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Hank Brown
IOWA · 3 props
OUT
+
Pass Yds
Line 175.5 · Avg 166.4 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 5.5 · Avg 4.0 · L5 2/4
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +401U -400
QB
Colton Joseph
WIS · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 143.5 · Avg 226.4 · L5 5/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 40.5 · Avg 52.4 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +222U -217
QB
Jeremy Hecklinski
IOWA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +100U -
RB
Abu Sama III
WIS · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 51.5 · Avg 63.3 · L5 1/3
O -122U -115
Rec Yds
Line 4.5 · Avg 8.0 · L5 2/2
O -110U -120
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.0 · L5 0/2
O +160U -215
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/3
O +177U -175
RB
L.J. Phillips Jr.
IOWA · 2 props
QUES
+
Rush Yds
Line 49.5 · Avg 21.0 · L5 0/3
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +214U -213
RB
Darrion Dupree
WIS · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +100U -526
RB
Bryan Jackson II
WIS · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/3
O +100U -
RB
Kamari Moulton
IOWA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O +141U -256
RB
Nathan McNeil
IOWA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 1/3
O +1073U -1000
RB
Braeden Jackson
IOWA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 2/5
O +441U -435
WR
Tony Diaz
IOWA · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 3.5 · Avg 9.0 · L5 4/4
O -105U -125
Rec Yds
Line 43.5 · Avg 54.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 4.7 · L5 2/5
O +110U -145
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 0/5
O +269U -263
WR
Tyrell Henry
WIS · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 13.5 · Avg 67.8 · L5 5/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 5.2 · L5 5/5
O -150U +110
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +870U -833
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.