MSSTBulldogs–
7:30 PM ETProps coming soon · ESPN
TEXLonghorns–
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: MSST 27.5 – TEX 32.2
MSST defensefaces TEX
vs QB
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#43
#43 119.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#122
#122 260.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
TEX defensefaces MSST
vs QB
#26
#26 171.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#27
#27 99.3 yds/gm
vs WR
#26
#26 171.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#26
#26 171.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Mississippi State Bulldogs
WRBull MitchellUndisclosedOUT
DLT. WilliamsLegOUT
QBKamario TaylorUndisclosedQUES
RBFluff BothwellFootQUES
WRA. WilliamsLegQUES
OGJamari FreemanUndisclosedQUES
Texas Longhorns
OGTrevor GoosbyKneeOUT
RBHollywood SmothersUndisclosedQUES
WRDaylan McCutcheonIllnessQUES
WRKaliq LockettUndisclosedQUES
DLColin SimmonsAnkleQUES
DLZ. WilliamsUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Arch Manning
TEX · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 230.5 · Avg 224.4 · L5 2/5
O -122 U -115
Rush Yds
Line 23.5 · Avg 20.4 · L5 2/5
O -120 U -110
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +147 U -145
Parker Puckett
MSST · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 179.5 · Avg 44.5 · L5 0/2
O +100 U -
Rush Yds
Line 11.5 · Avg 24.0 · L5 1/1
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +382 U -370
Fluff Bothwell
MSST · 4 props
QUESRush Yds
Line 66.5 · Avg 80.6 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 8.5 · Avg 24.0 · L5 3/4
O -120 U -110
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.2 · L5 1/4
O -125 U -105
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O +171 U -169
Raleek Brown
TEX · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 67.5 · Avg 43.6 · L5 0/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O -109 U +110
Hollywood Smothers
TEX · 2 props
QUESRush Yds
Line 64.5 · Avg 59.2 · L5 2/4
O -121 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/4
O -137 U +138
Xavier Gayten
MSST · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/3
O +100 U -
Derrek Cooper
TEX · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100 U -526
Kolin Wilson
MSST · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +706 U -667
J.J. Hill
MSST · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 1/2
O +100 U -
Anthony Evans III
MSST · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 53 · Avg 114.8 · L5 5/5
O - U -
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 8.0 · L5 5/5
O -135 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 4/5
O +298 U -294
Marquis Johnson
MSST · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 19.5 · Avg 43.6 · L5 4/5
O -118 U -115
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.6 · L5 4/5
O -160 U +120
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +673 U -667
Cam Coleman
TEX · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 49.5 · Avg 63.6 · L5 3/5
O +100 U -
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.4 · L5 3/5
O +120 U -160
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 3/5
O +141 U -141
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.